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After the US shale gas revolution

Résumé

Après vingt ans de points de vue différents dans le domaine, l'auteur, spécialiste du marché du gaz, propose un panorama des solutions majeures définies dans ce secteur ainsi que les conséquences des changements opérés par les Etats-Unis par rapport à l'emploi du gaz de schiste.


  • Éditeur(s)
  • Date
    • 2012
  • Notes
    • En anglais
    • Glossaire
  • Langues
    • Français
  • Description matérielle
    • 1 vol. (165 p.) : cartes, graph., couv. ill. en coul. ; 24 cm
  • Sujet(s)
  • Epoque
  • ISBN
    • 978-2-7108-1016-2
  • Indice
  • Quatrième de couverture
    • After the us shale gas revolution

      After 20 years at different positions in the gas sector, from the policy side to trading floors, the author gives an overview of the major gas issues and elaborates on the consequences of the US shale gas revolution.

      The first part of the book provides basic knowledge and gives needed tools to better understand this industry, that often stands, in sandwich, between upstream oil and utilities. After extensive research, publication and teaching, the author shares his insights on fundamental issues all along the gas chain and explains the price mechanisms ranging from oil-indexation to spot.

      The second part looks into the future of worldwide gas balance. To supply growing markets, the major resource holder, Russia, is now in direct competition with the major gas producer, the US. China has the potential not only to select the winner but also to decide the pricing principle for all Asian buyers in 2020. As China is a new and growing gas importer and has a lower price tolerance than historical Asian buyers (Japan and South Korea), it is highly possible that, against basic geography, China selects waterborne US LNG vs. close Russian pipe gas, to achieve lower import price. Europe, so risk adverse that it won't be able to take any decision regarding shale gas production on this side of 2020, should see its power fading on the energy scene and would rely more on Russia. Gas geopolitics could tighten Russia stronghold on Europe, on one side, and create a flourishing North America-Asian trade...

      This book is accessible to all and will particularly interest readers seeking a global gas perspective where economics and geopolitics mix. It can be read as an economic novel where billions of $ are invested to shape tomorrow energy world or as a geopolitical thriller where Russia and the US compete to impose their respective agenda, leaving China to sélect the winner...


  • Tables des matières
      • After the us shale gas revolution

      • PrefaceIX
      • IntroductionXI
      • 26 Centuries of Supply, Demand and Innovation
      • « Gaz à tous les étages » 2
      • Basics
      • Permanent Sovereignty over Natural Resources 3
      • Reserves 4
      • Russia, First Reserve Holder5
      • Iran & Qatar share the Largest Gas Field6
      • Turkmenistan : a Reclusive Oppressive Regime where Information is Scarce6
      • Production 7
      • Production by Countries8
      • Production by Companies : Gazprom First !9
      • Consumption 10
      • Net Exporters 11
      • Geopolitics and Focus on Russia12
      • Cartel Speculation12
      • Net Importers 13
      • Recent Net Importers : UK and China15
      • Trade Movements on the Rise 17
      • Technicals
      • Pipe Transport 19
      • Transit : Rules20
      • ... Issues20
      • ... and Solution20
      • China Appears to be emerging as a Key Destination for Gas Supply22
      • LNG Chan 24
      • Liquefaction25
      • Shipping31
      • Regasification32
      • Balance between Liquefaction and Regasification32
      • From a Quasi-pipe Business to a Grid Business allowing Arbitrages32
      • « Dire Straits »34
      • Pipe Gas vs. LNG 34
      • LNG wins in Italy35
      • ... loses in Spain35
      • ... and in the UK ?37
      • Uses 38
      • Historical uses38
      • New uses, as a Transportation Fuel39
      • Gas in Primary Energy Mix 40
      • Demand Seasonality 42
      • Swing Production 42
      • Storage 47
      • Three Types of Underground Gas Storage48
      • ... and two « kinds » of Gas !49
      • Worldwide Storage Capacity49
      • Focus on UK Infrastructure : Storage vs. Imports52
      • Russia : Gazprom Monopoly with 65 bcm54
      • Ukraine : a Special Position in between Russia and the EU54
      • Spare Capacity 55
      • Markets, Prices & Costs
      • Many Price Mechanisms... 57
      • ... & Many Units 58
      • Spot58
      • Oil-indexation59
      • Term Markets 60
      • Costs 63
      • Cost Structure in Europe63
      • Cost Structure in the US64
      • Cost of associated Gas65
      • Europe : from Oil-indexation to spot Markets 66
      • UK : the Oldest liberalised Market in Europe66
      • Future of European Hub69
      • Markets can mitigate Winter-Summer Spreads 73
      • Markets can Reallocate Supply 74
      • LNG Arbitrages74
      • Markets can Select the most Profitable Fuel to generate Electricity 79
      • Markets Integration ? 81
      • Policies
      • Cheap Energy allows Development 83
      • Secure Energy has been the First Policy Goal as it is Essential to National Security 84
      • In Oil, Strategic Stocks are a Reality and have been used84
      • In Gas, Strategic Stocks are introduced85
      • Clean Energy, if we have the Money ! 87
      • EU ETS : too Complex89
      • Taxes / Subsidies 91
      • Regulation / State Intervention 93
      • Focus on European Storage Regulation93
      • Where is the Future Supply Growth ?
      • The US Shale Gas Revolution 97
      • China holds the Largest Unconventional Gas Reserves 103
      • China is accessing American Shale Gas Technology105
      • ... and improving its Gas Infrastructure106
      • Production set to Grow by 13 % CAGR until 2020e106
      • Europe : Incremental Supply in Poland 106
      • Not in Continental Europe this Side of 2020e110
      • Perhaps Offshore in the North Sea110
      • Australia could overtake Qatar in LNG, thanks to Unconventional Gas 113
      • Russia & Norway : a little more Pipe Gas before the Arctic opening 115
      • Russia : Major Projets under way could Face Challenges115
      • Norway has the Flexibility to wield a Degree of Market Power but little Growth left in Traditional Areas117
      • Arctic Circle : Barents Sea first117
      • Other Places 117
      • South America119
      • South Africa : Shale stopped119
      • Mediterranean Sea : Border Disputes likely to delay Israel LNG120
      • Caspian Sea121
      • Offshore Africa : Unlikely even in Mozambique121
      • North Africa123
      • Middle East123
      • Where is the Future Demand Growth ?
      • In Asia, Mainly in China 125
      • China Consumption set to Grow by 15,5 % CAGR out to 2020e125
      • India126
      • Japan : 2012e could be the Start of a Plateau Demand127
      • Finding New Demand for Gas in North America 128
      • To generate more Electricity128
      • As a Transportation Fuel128
      • US Plastics Exports129
      • Not in Europe, unless New Uses are Found 129
      • What about Global Warning ?132
      • Gas to balance Renewable Energy Production132
      • To be Green or Profitable ?132
      • The Future of Oil-linked Contracts 133
      • Oil-linked vs. Spot133
      • For New Gas Volume to replace Nuclear, Gas has to be priced Differently136
      • Conclusion : After the US Shale Gas Revolution, the 2020 Gas World
      • China Needs to secure Extra Gas from 2018e 141
      • ... When US LNG could be available ! 142
      • Negatively impacting Russia and Australia144
      • Gazprom in the Driving Seat in Europe 147
      • The Question of Energy Dependency 149
      • The Remaining Question of European Oil Dependency150
      • Units and Conversions151
      • Organizations and Data Providers153
      • Glossary157
      • List of Figures, Maps and Tables161

  • Origine de la notice:
    • FR-751131015
  • Disponible - 339.52 BRO

    Niveau 3 - Economie