World Energy Outlook 2015

Auteur(s) :

Agence internationale de l'énergie Découvrir l'auteur

Résumé

Le point sur les enjeux et l'évolution de la politique énergétique dans le monde.

Éditeur(s)
- OCDE
Date
- 2015
Langues
- Anglais
Description matérielle
- 1 vol. (700 p.) : illustrations en noir et en couleur ; 23 x 16 cm
Sujet(s)
ISBN
- 9789264243651
Indice
- 339.52 Énergie
Quatrième de couverture
- Big questions abound in global energy in 2015:
  
  Could oil prices stay lower for longer? What would it take for this to happen and what would it mean for energy security and for the energy transition?
  
  India is set for a period of rapid, sustained growth in energy demand: how could this re-shape the energy scene?
  
  What do new climate pledges mean for the way that the world meets its rising needs for energy?
  
  What are the implications of the rising coverage of energy efficiency policies and the growing competitiveness of renewables?
  
  Is the unconventional gas revolution going to go global or to remain a North American phenomenon?
  
  These issues - and many more - are discussed here, with a special focus on India accompanying the customary, in-depth WEO analysis of the prospects for all fossil fuels, renewables, the power sector and energy efficiency around the world to 2040.
Tables des matières
- - World Energy Outlook 2015
  - Introduction and scope 1
  - Global energy trends to 2040 2
  - Oil market outlook 3
  - Low oil price scenario 4
  - Natural gas market outlook 5
  - Outlook for unconventional gas 6
  - Coal market outlook 7
  - Power sector outlook 8
  - Renewable energy outlook 9
  - Energy efficiency outlook 10
  - Energy in india today 11
  - Outlook for india's energy consumption 12
  - Outlook for india's energy supply 13
  - Implications of india's energy development 14
  - Annexes
  - Foreword 3
  - Acknowledgements 5
  - Executive Summary 21
  - Part A: Global energy trends 31
  - 1 Introduction and scope 31
  - Scope of the report32
  - Methodological approach32
  - Modelling framework32
  - Defining the scenarios34
  - Main non-policy assumptions36
  - The economy36
  - Demographic trends40
  - Carbon-dioxide prices41
  - Technology43
  - Energy supply costs and prices46
  - Oil prices46
  - Natural gas prices51
  - Coal prices52
  - 2 Global energy trends to 2040 53
  - Introduction54
  - Overview of energy trends by scenario55
  - Energy trends in the New Policies Scenario61
  - Energy demand61
  - Energy supply78
  - Inter-regional energy trade88
  - Energy sector investment92
  - Energy-related CO₂ emissions94
  - Topics in focus96
  - Fossil-fuel subsidies96
  - Access to modern energy101
  - 3 Oil market outlook 111
  - Oil price fall and the long-term outlook112
  - The story so far114
  - Demand118
  - Regional trends118
  - Sectoral trends120
  - Trends by product128
  - Production130
  - Resources and reserves130
  - Production prospects132
  - Refining and trade143
  - Investment and costs147
  - 4 Low Oil Price Scenario 153
  - What could keep oil prices down for longer?154
  - Key assumptions155
  - Outcomes in the Low Oil Price Scenario157
  - Oil demand159
  - Oil production164
  - Focus: tight oil - a new balancing element in the oil market?168
  - Refining and trade177
  - Implications for other fuels and technologies178
  - Implications for economies, energy security and sustainability184
  - 5 Natural gas market outlook 193
  - The search for a new natural gas balance194
  - Demand196
  - Regional trends196
  - Sectoral trends201
  - Production203
  - Resources and reserves203
  - Production prospects204
  - Methane emissions212
  - Trade and investment215
  - Focus: LNG costs and the competitive position of natural gas222
  - 6 Outlook for unconventional gas 229
  - A multi-speed revolution?230
  - Unconventional gas production prospects to 2040231
  - Overview by country233
  - Inside the US shale storm237
  - Weathering the decline in natural gas prices239
  - Long-term outlook for US unconventional gas243
  - Unconventional gas in China: a long wait for take-off?245
  - Policy environment and production outlook247
  - Barriers to unconventional gas supply252
  - Implications for China and global gas markets254
  - Unconventional gas regulation: revisiting the "Golden Rules"257
  - United States258
  - Canada261
  - Australia263
  - Key public concerns and trends in unconventional gas regulation266
  - 7 Coal market outlook 269
  - Overview270
  - Demand276
  - Regional trends276
  - Sectoral trends278
  - Supply280
  - Reserves and resources280
  - Production281
  - Trade283
  - Coal prices and costs285
  - Regional insights290
  - China290
  - United States292
  - South Africa294
  - Southeast Asia295
  - Australia297
  - 8 Power sector outlook 299
  - Context300
  - Electricity demand304
  - Electricity supply310
  - Overview310
  - Power generation capacity311
  - Power generation315
  - Investment320
  - Power generation costs322
  - Electricity prices326
  - Electricity-related carbon-dioxide emissions329
  - Focus on coal-fired power generation330
  - Coal-fired power generation capacity330
  - Power generation and coal plant efficiencies332
  - CO₂ emissions due to coal-fired power generation335
  - Impact of local water scarcity on coal-fired power337
  - 9 Renewable energy outlook 343
  - Recent developments344
  - Policy developments344
  - Market and industry developments345
  - Outlook by scenario347
  - Outlook by sector in the New Policies Scenario349
  - Global trends349
  - Power sector350
  - Industry and buildings361
  - Transport362
  - Avoided CO₂ emissions365
  - Economics of renewables368
  - Investment368
  - Competitiveness372
  - Subsidies380
  - 10 Energy efficiency outlook 387
  - Introduction388
  - Current status of energy efficiency388
  - Recent trends388
  - Energy efficiency regulation392
  - Outlook for energy efficiency396
  - Remaining energy efficiency potential398
  - Trends by sector400
  - Avoided CO₂ emissions408
  - Investment408
  - Focus : material efficiency in energy-intensive industries409
  - Introduction409
  - Method412
  - Impact on energy-intensive sectors414
  - Policy recommendations and costs421
  - Part B : India energy outlook 425
  - 11 Energy in India today 427
  - Introducing the special focus on India428
  - Key energy trends in India428
  - Demand428
  - Electricity433
  - Access to modern energy436
  - Energy production and trade438
  - Factors affecting India's energy development445
  - Economy and demographics445
  - Policy and institutional framework448
  - Energy prices and affordability451
  - Social and environmental aspects454
  - Investment456
  - Projecting future developments458
  - Economic and population growth459
  - Energy prices460
  - Policies461
  - 12 Outlook for India's energy consumption 463
  - India: a rising force in global energy demand464
  - Overview and outlook by fuel465
  - End-use sectors470
  - Buildings471
  - Industry477
  - Transport483
  - Agriculture488
  - Power sector489
  - Electricity demand490
  - Electricity supply494
  - Transmission and distribution503
  - Implications for air quality504
  - 13 Outlook for India's energy supply 507
  - Energy supply in India508
  - Coal508
  - Coal quality, resources and reserves508
  - Costs510
  - Production prospects511
  - Transport and handling infrastructure517
  - Coal imports519
  - Oil and natural gas521
  - Resources and reserves521
  - Oil supply523
  - Natural gas527
  - Renewable energy532
  - Solar power534
  - Wind power539
  - Hydropower540
  - Bioenergy541
  - Nuclear power543
  - 14 Implications of India's energy development 547
  - What route to centre stage?548
  - Implications of the New Policies Scenario549
  - Energy-related CO₂ emissions and climate change555
  - An Indian Vision Case559
  - Investing in India's energy future568
  - Investment in energy efficiency568
  - Investment in energy supply572
  - Annexes
  - Annexe A. Tables for scenario projections581
  - Annexe B. Policies and measures by scenario661
  - Annexe C. Definitions673
  - Annex D. References685
Origine de la notice:
- BPI